1 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1420
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rudomina
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1393
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H18-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.