1 Jul · 13:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PC
🇵🇱Piotr Chlodnicki
ELO 1514
FormLLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Nowalinski
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1682
FormWLWWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Nowalinski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H18-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-2)