1 Jul · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1548
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1563
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H42-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.