1 Jul · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1439
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Linek
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1409
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Linek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+30
H2H13-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.