1 Jul · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
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🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1711
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Daniel
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1689
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H34-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.