1 Jul · 15:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PC
🇵🇱Piotr Chlodnicki
ELO 1514
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wisniewski
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1609
FormWLLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)