1 Jul · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1208
FormLLLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1459
FormLLLWL
25%
75%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+251
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+251)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)