1 Jul · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1208
FormLLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Staniczek
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1365
FormWWLLL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Staniczek
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)