1 Jul · 16:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1460
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1497
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.