1 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1401
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Debski
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1436
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Debski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.