1 Jul · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1664
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Daniel
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1718
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)