1 Jul · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1844
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kolodziej
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1682
FormLWWLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H25-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-12)