1 Jul · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jadam
ELO 1627
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Nowalinski
MN
🇵🇱Maciej Nowalinski
ELO 1682
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Nowalinski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+55
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)