1 Jul · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1459
FormLLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Michalik
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1365
FormWWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H37-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-17)