1 Jul · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jadam
ELO 1627
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1664
FormLLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.