1 Jul · 16:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1598
FormLLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Daniel
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1718
FormWLWWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H29-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-9)