1 Jul · 18:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1532
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1567
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H41-50
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.