2 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jadam
ELO 1613
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jadam
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1573
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Jadam
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.