1 Jul · 23:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1525
FormLLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1646
FormLWWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H13-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)