2 Jul · 01:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1486
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klocek
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1473
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H14-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.