2 Jul · 01:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1653
FormWWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkaczyk
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1533
FormLWLLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H23-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-9)