2 Jul · 02:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1532
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1576
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)