2 Jul · 03:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1437
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bernacki
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1522
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)