2 Jul · 03:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1526
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1543
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.