2 Jul · 03:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1585
FormWLLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Lebek
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1374
FormLLWWL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+211
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+211)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)