2 Jul · 05:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1186
FormLLLLW
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1597
FormWLLWL
14%
86%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~70 pts
0-3
43%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+411
H2H14-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+411)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-3)