2 Jul · 05:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1635
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tkaczyk
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1544
FormWWWLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H14-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-13)