2 Jul · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1489
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sulkowski
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1429
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H22-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-15)