2 Jul · 06:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1367
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Misiak
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1429
FormLLLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Misiak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H17-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-5)