2 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GA
🇵🇱Grzegorz Adamiak
ELO 1617
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adamiak
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1591
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Adamiak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+26
H2H9-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.