2 Jul · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1493
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Balcerzak
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1615
FormWLLLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)