2 Jul · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1465
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Urban
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1390
FormWWLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Urban
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)