2 Jul · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1475
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Balcerzak
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1614
FormLWWLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H16-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-7)