2 Jul · 09:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1494
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Adamus
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1395
FormWLLLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)