2 Jul · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1487
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adamus
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1460
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H20-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.