2 Jul · 15:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1418
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1456
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+38
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.