2 Jul · 15:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1413
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Glanowski
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1401
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 45% · 2.23· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.