2 Jul · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1513
FormWWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Adamus
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1416
FormWWLWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)