2 Jul · 20:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1603
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Koczyba
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1488
FormLLLWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)