2 Jul · 21:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1330
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1344
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H45-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.