2 Jul · 22:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1322
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1337
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.