3 Jul · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1627
FormLWLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Tkocz
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1425
FormWLWWL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+202
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)