3 Jul · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1350
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Golaszewski
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1308
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)