3 Jul · 00:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1583
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1618
FormLWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H34-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.