3 Jul · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1385
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wnek
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1308
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)