3 Jul · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GK
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1415
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Linek
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1485
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Linek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)