3 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1597
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1640
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H13-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)