3 Jul · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1628
FormWLWWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Tkocz
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1420
FormLLLLW
72%
28%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+208
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)