3 Jul · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1358
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1411
FormWLLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H18-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-13)