3 Jul · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GK
🇵🇱Gracjan Kesik
ELO 1433
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kesik
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1367
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kesik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)